Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
BOS
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 1
CER
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
PLA
54%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 0
LFC
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 2
PLA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |