Defensor Sporting vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
JUN
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 0
DEF
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
SLO
3 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 3
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |