Defensor Sporting vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 3
DEF
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CER
1 - 2
DEF
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 5
LFC
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
DEF
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 4
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
MWA
0 - 2
BVS
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
4 - 1
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MWA
1 - 0
CER
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MWA
1 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |