Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
DEF
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MWA
2 - 1
DEF
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 1
DEF
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CER
2 - 1
LFC
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LFC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 2
CSM
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FEN
0 - 1
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 2
JUV
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |