Defensor Sporting vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
3 - 4
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
4 - 2
TAC
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
PEÑ
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
3 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |