Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DEF
3 - 2
RIV
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
PLA
34%
27%
38%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 1
FEN
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 2
BOS
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |