Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 3
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
3 - 2
PLA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FEN
0 - 2
LFC
38%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |