Defensor Sporting vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
REN
2 - 6
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 1
RAC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 1
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 2
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 3
RAC
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -2 |