Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
DEF
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 2
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CER
0 - 3
DEF
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 2
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 1
DAN
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 1
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 3
DAN
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
DAN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |