Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 2
ETS
61%
23%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
4 - 1
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 2
PLA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MWA
0 - 0
DAN
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
DAN
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DAN
4 - 0
LFC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |