Defensor Sporting vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JUN
1 - 6
DEF
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
BVS
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
CEN
1 - 2
DEF
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
1 - 2
EST
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DAN
2 - 2
FEN
73%
17%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
CSM
1 - 4
DAN
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
CUE
0 - 0
DAN
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
DAN
1 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |