Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 5
DEF
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
SUD
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
DEF
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CER
1 - 1
JUV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BOS
1 - 1
CER
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
MWA
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 1
CER
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |