Defensor Sporting vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAC
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
MWA
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEF
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
DEF
3 - 1
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
CER
0 - 3
CSM
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 2
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
JUN
2 - 1
CER
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
CER
2 - 3
FEN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |