Defensor San Alejandro vs Walter Ormeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor San Alejandro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
DEF
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
4 - 1
SBO
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
LOS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Walter Ormeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 3
MAN
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SBO
3 - 1
WAL
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
WAL
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 0
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |