Defensor La Bocana vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 1
BOC
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
MEL
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 5
BOC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 3
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 2
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
GAR
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 1
COM
45%
26%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
COM
3 - 1
VAL
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |