Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 0
DYJ
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 2
DYJ
19%
26%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
DYJ
5 - 3
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 1
DYJ
36%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CAU
0 - 0
IND
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
CAU
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
CAU
3 - 1
SMA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 0
CAU
33%
29%
38%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAU
2 - 2
SPB
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |