Defensa y Justicia vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
DYJ
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DYJ
1 - 0
BUC
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DYJ
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DYJ
2 - 1
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
INS
2 - 1
DYJ
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
DES
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
IRV
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 1
PAT
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 0
IRV
61%
23%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IRV
0 - 0
ATT
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |