Defensa y Justicia vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
AND
3 - 2
DYJ
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
INS
2 - 1
DYJ
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DYJ
1 - 3
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
DYJ
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DYJ
2 - 2
CAU
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
IRV
0 - 0
TFE
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
IRV
2 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ALM
3 - 0
IRV
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
IRV
2 - 1
SMA
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
2 - 1
IRV
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |