Defensa y Justicia vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FER
0 - 0
DYJ
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
DYJ
2 - 1
CAI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 0
DYJ
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
DYJ
57%
25%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 0
SMA
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 2
ALD
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GIM
0 - 0
MER
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CAU
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
TFE
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
ATT
2 - 1
MER
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |