Defensa y Justicia vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 1
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
DYJ
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
DYJ
1 - 3
SLO
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 2
DYJ
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
CCP
2 - 1
LAN
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 3
GOD
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 2
LAN
36%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
RIV
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 2
LAN
30%
27%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |