Defensa y Justicia vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
0 - 0
CAU
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 0
DYJ
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
DYJ
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 2
DYJ
19%
26%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
DYJ
5 - 3
BAN
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BRO
2 - 1
VSC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 1
BRO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 3
BRO
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 0
HUR
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
IRV
0 - 0
BRO
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |