Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
2º
11º
2º
22
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 56 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
53 | 54 |
2º
|
52% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
POL
0 - 2
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
POI
1 - 2
DEF
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 0
DEF
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
DEF
4 - 4
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
DEF
4 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
CAL
45%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
LHR
2 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
POL
1 - 2
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 2
CEN
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
CON
3 - 0
CUN
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |