Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
10 - 0
ANN
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
4 - 3
MOR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 6
CON
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
CON
4 - 0
POL
54%
22%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
ANN
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 3
DEP
40%
24%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |