Defence Force vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 2
ECM
58%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 0
CEN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
DEF
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CAL
4 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DEF
3 - 3
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
POL
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ECM
0 - 7
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |