Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
18.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
DEF
35%
31%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
MOR
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
DEF
34%
32%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
51%
29%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
DEF
40%
31%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
STM
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
DAL
1 - 1
SUA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SUA
4 - 1
SMA
22%
28%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
SUA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 0
GBR
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |