Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
3 - 1
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
SUA
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
3 - 2
ACA
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 2
SUA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |