Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
31.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
TEM
1 - 0
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
DEF
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
CHA
29%
31%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 1
DEF
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
DAL
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SUA
0 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 2
SUA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SUA
0 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
3 - 0
SUA
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 0
ATL
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |