Def. Belgrano vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
VSC
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 1
DEF
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
DEF
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
CCO
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SUA
0 - 0
AND
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ALM
2 - 0
SUA
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
SUA
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SUA
1 - 4
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |