Def. Belgrano vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
54.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
19.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEF
69%
22%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
CHA
17%
26%
57%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 0
DEF
65%
24%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
INS
4 - 3
DEF
73%
20%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
RSA
19%
28%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IRV
1 - 1
ARS
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGR
0 - 0
IRV
29%
29%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IRV
2 - 1
DAL
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
IRV
29%
29%
43%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IRV
1 - 0
PLA
57%
27%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |