Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
41.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
DEF
52%
27%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ITA
36%
30%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
MOR
18%
27%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SUA
0 - 1
DEF
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 1
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
ESP
3 - 2
RIE
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
ESP
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALM
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |