Def. Belgrano vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
DEF
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
FLA
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 5
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARM
58%
25%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ARM
2 - 2
MER
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAR
3 - 2
ARM
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ARM
4 - 1
COL
34%
29%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
ARM
77%
17%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |