Def. Belgrano vs Acassuso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AND
4 - 2
DEF
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
EST
25%
29%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRO
3 - 0
DEF
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Acassuso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
TEM
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
ACA
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
3 - 2
SUA
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 1
COL
26%
30%
45%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |