Decic vs Sutjeska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LOV
1 - 0
DEC
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 0
PET
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MOG
5 - 0
DEC
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 0
MOR
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 1
LOV
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SUT
3 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 1
MLA
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LOV
1 - 1
SUT
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 1
PET
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
MOG
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |