Decic vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
24.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
DEC
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
DEC
0 - 1
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
DEC
2 - 1
MLA
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEC
31%
31%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ZET
0 - 0
DEC
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 2
LOV
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MLA
1 - 1
LOV
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
LOV
0 - 1
MOG
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |