Decic vs Grbalj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MLA
0 - 0
DEC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DEC
1 - 4
ZET
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DEC
0 - 0
IKD
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
BOK
2 - 1
DEC
38%
30%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
DEC
1 - 0
LOV
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Grbalj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
GRB
1 - 0
RUD
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GRB
0 - 2
PET
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 0
GRB
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
GRB
1 - 0
PET
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
RUD
0 - 0
GRB
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |