Decic vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
DEC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 0
JEZ
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
DEC
26%
28%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
DEC
2 - 1
PET
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
DEC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
FKM
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
FKA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
BUD
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JED
3 - 2
FKA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |