De Graafschap Sub 21 vs Willem II Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
APB
1 - 3
GRA
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
PEC
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 1
GRA
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
ROD
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EMM
1 - 2
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
EMM
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEC
2 - 2
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WIL
4 - 1
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
APB
0 - 3
WIL
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |