Holland Reserve League Preliminary Round Round 3

De Graafschap U21 vs Heracles U21 analysis

De Graafschap U21 Heracles U21
36 ELO 25
14.2% Tilt 9.3%
8199º General ELO ranking 27600º
127º Country ELO ranking 492º
ELO win probability
79.8%
De Graafschap U21
12.4%
Draw
7.8%
Heracles U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
De Graafschap U21
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
7.8%
Win probability
Heracles U21
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

De Graafschap U21
Heracles U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

De Graafschap U21
De Graafschap U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2018
TWE
Twente U21
2 - 1
De Graafschap U21
GRA
55%
23%
22%
39 45 6 0
20 Aug. 2018
GRA
De Graafschap U21
4 - 0
NEC Nijmegen U21
NEC
82%
12%
7%
38 25 13 +1
27 May. 2018
DEM
De Meern
1 - 4
De Graafschap U21
GRA
33%
22%
45%
39 32 7 -1
20 May. 2018
GRA
De Graafschap U21
2 - 0
HSC 21
HSC
41%
21%
38%
38 40 2 +1
12 May. 2018
EVV
EVV
2 - 0
De Graafschap U21
GRA
42%
24%
34%
39 39 0 -1

Matches

Heracles U21
Heracles U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2018
HER
Heracles U21
4 - 0
Go Ahead Eagles U21
GAE
70%
16%
14%
25 21 4 0
20 Aug. 2018
PEC
PEC Zwolle U21
1 - 1
Heracles U21
HER
46%
22%
32%
25 24 1 0
30 Apr. 2018
EXC
Excelsior U21
1 - 1
Heracles U21
HER
48%
21%
31%
25 26 1 0
24 Apr. 2018
HER
Heracles U21
3 - 0
NAC Breda U21
NAC
50%
22%
28%
24 25 1 +1
09 Apr. 2018
ADO
ADO Den Haag U21
5 - 3
Heracles U21
HER
59%
20%
21%
25 28 3 -1