DC United vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
DCU
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PHU
0 - 1
DCU
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
POR
3 - 2
DCU
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DCU
4 - 1
DAL
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
COC
1 - 1
DCU
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 0
GAL
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 5
RSL
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 0
COC
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 4
HOD
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HOD
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |