DC United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DCU
3 - 1
NYC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
DCU
1 - 0
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DCU
1 - 0
DAL
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DCU
2 - 1
CFS
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COC
3 - 2
MIN
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ORL
2 - 1
COC
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
COC
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COC
0 - 0
PHU
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COC
2 - 1
COR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |