DC United vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RBN
0 - 0
DCU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DCU
1 - 0
RSL
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
DCU
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DCU
1 - 1
HOD
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOD
3 - 1
DCU
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
COC
1 - 1
SJE
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VAN
2 - 1
COC
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 3
COC
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
DCU
3 - 2
COC
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |