MLS Round 19

DC United vs Colorado Rapids analysis

DC United Colorado Rapids
78 ELO 73
14.5% Tilt 0.4%
508º General ELO ranking 388º
25º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
55.9%
DC United
22.4%
Draw
21.7%
Colorado Rapids

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
DC United
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.7%
Win probability
Colorado Rapids
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
DC United
-23%
-8%
Colorado Rapids

ELO progression

DC United
Colorado Rapids
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

DC United
DC United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jul. 2009
DCU
DC United
2 - 1
Penn FC
PNN
81%
13%
6%
78 60 18 0
05 Jul. 2009
COC
Columbus Crew
1 - 1
DC United
DCU
50%
26%
24%
78 79 1 0
30 Jun. 2009
OCE
Ocean City Nor'easters
0 - 2
DC United
DCU
13%
20%
67%
77 47 30 +1
21 Jun. 2009
COR
Colorado Rapids
3 - 0
DC United
DCU
36%
28%
37%
78 74 4 -1
18 Jun. 2009
SES
Seattle Sounders
3 - 3
DC United
DCU
35%
27%
37%
78 71 7 0

Matches

Colorado Rapids
Colorado Rapids
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jul. 2009
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 0
FC Dallas
DAL
41%
27%
32%
73 73 0 0
05 Jul. 2009
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 2
Chicago Fire
CFS
37%
28%
35%
74 77 3 -1
28 Jun. 2009
SES
Seattle Sounders
3 - 0
Colorado Rapids
COR
40%
26%
34%
74 71 3 0
25 Jun. 2009
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 1
FC Dallas
DAL
44%
27%
29%
74 73 1 0
21 Jun. 2009
COR
Colorado Rapids
3 - 0
DC United
DCU
36%
28%
37%
74 78 4 0