Dayton Dutch Lions vs FC New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RIC
3 - 0
DAY
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
DAY
2 - 0
NYO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
DAY
2 - 3
PNN
28%
26%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DAY
2 - 2
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PIT
3 - 1
DAY
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
FC New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NYO
2 - 1
ROC
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
PNN
0 - 0
NYO
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
DAY
2 - 0
NYO
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
NYO
1 - 3
WIL
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
5 - 1
NYO
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |