Dayrells Road vs Bagatelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagatelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 3
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
YOU
0 - 0
BAG
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 3
WEY
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
BAG
2 - 5
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
ELL
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |