Dartford vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 4
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 0
DAR
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TAM
3 - 2
DAR
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KIN
0 - 4
DAR
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DAR
2 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
TON
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
TON
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
HAY
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TON
2 - 1
HIT
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |