Dartford vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WEL
2 - 1
DAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
EBB
2 - 1
DAR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 0
CRA
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 3
DAR
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 2
DAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
CHM
6 - 1
THU
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WYC
3 - 1
CHM
61%
20%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GLO
1 - 0
CHM
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 2
CHM
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHM
3 - 2
HEN
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |