Non League Div One Isthmian North Round 4

Dartford vs Aveley analysis

Dartford Aveley
40 ELO 29
11.6% Tilt 12.7%
5436º General ELO ranking 7502º
175º Country ELO ranking 299º
ELO win probability
69.6%
Dartford
18.2%
Draw
12.2%
Aveley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
Dartford
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Win probability
Aveley
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dartford
+54%
-55%
Aveley

ELO progression

Dartford
Aveley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2007
WAR
Ware
4 - 0
Dartford
DAR
41%
25%
35%
41 40 1 0
21 Aug. 2007
WIV
Wivenhoe Town FC
0 - 3
Dartford
DAR
38%
26%
36%
40 37 3 +1
18 Aug. 2007
DAR
Dartford
2 - 2
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
52%
25%
24%
39 41 2 +1
28 Apr. 2007
MET
Metropolitan Police
4 - 3
Dartford
DAR
51%
25%
24%
39 44 5 0
21 Apr. 2007
DAR
Dartford
0 - 0
Walton Casuals
WAL
67%
18%
15%
39 33 6 0

Matches

Aveley
Aveley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2007
AVE
Aveley
1 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
34%
29%
37%
30 36 6 0
20 Aug. 2007
AVE
Aveley
1 - 0
Great Wakering Rovers
GRE
29%
27%
44%
29 36 7 +1
18 Aug. 2007
YEL
AFC Sudbury
3 - 0
Aveley
AVE
69%
18%
13%
29 41 12 0
28 Apr. 2007
BUR
Bury Town
3 - 0
Aveley
AVE
58%
21%
21%
29 33 4 0
21 Apr. 2007
AVE
Aveley
0 - 2
Witham Town
WHI
58%
23%
20%
30 23 7 -1