Dartford vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
TIL
3 - 2
DAR
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 0
DAR
17%
22%
62%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DAR
3 - 2
ARL
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BER
4 - 3
DAR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 1
BAE
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 5
SIT
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FAF
3 - 2
AVE
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 3
HAR
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |