Dartford vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DAR
0 - 1
NUN
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
DAR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
STO
0 - 1
DAR
36%
25%
38%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
DAR
0 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
DAR
1 - 2
GRI
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
3 - 0
TAM
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
4 - 0
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 3
STO
69%
18%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |