Daroca vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Daroca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
0 - 3
GOT
24%
23%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
4 - 3
ANI
46%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
DAR
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EMB
1 - 0
DAR
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DAR
2 - 1
RBR
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
GOT
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
4 - 3
PCU
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EMB
3 - 1
ARI
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
4 - 2
RBR
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZAL
0 - 4
ARI
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |